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In 2024, eCommerce accounted for 10% of total retail sales, which is half the share seen in Poland. At the same time, the number of online shoppers and the frequency of purchases increased over the past year. Currently, there are approximately 11 million internet shoppers in Ukraine, making an average of 17 online purchases per year, with an average transaction value of 1,300 UAH. Overall, in 2024, Ukrainians spent a total of 239 billion UAH on online goods and services, which is 25% more than in 2023.
In this report, we have visualized trends across seven market niches based on weighted average indicators within each category. The sample includes players with varying revenue levels. We compared data from the second half of 2023 with that of 2024. To accurately assess seasonality and eliminate the impact of inflation, some figures are presented as percentages in USD.
According to traffic estimates from Similarweb, over 90% of people in Ukraine use the internet, with 78% accessing it daily. Internet penetration is remarkable, yet not all Ukrainians shop online. This means there is still significant growth potential for online businesses.
In Ukraine, the share of online purchases is three times lower than in the US and the UK—approximately 15-20% compared to 45-50% in certain segments. Despite the growing popularity of online sales channels, Ukraine is still at the early stages of utilizing the internet as a full-fledged sales platform.
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The future looks promising—more people will be shopping online. However, let’s imagine that instead of 100 players in the advertising auction, there are 300. Competition will rise, driving up the cost per click.
The Promodo team works with clients in the U.S. and Europe, where CPC rates are significantly higher than in Ukraine. As eCommerce expands, Ukraine will also move closer to these levels.
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Ukrainians' behavior is shifting, influenced by general fatigue and irritability, which impact how they act and shop. Due to inflation and the overall uncertainty, Ukrainians are being more cautious with their spending. Previously, people would often choose their favorite brand from a range of options, but now, they are more likely to focus on the price. Certain products, like a new laptop, have shifted from a must-have purchase to a nice-to-have item.
Our forecast for 2025 suggests a declining market: the number of buyers will likely decrease, and the gradual weakening of the Hryvnia will continue. Competition will intensify among major players, with large brands aggressively expanding their market share.
In such a market, online businesses will need to place greater focus on customer retention, as acquiring new customers will become more expensive. 2025 will not allow the same level of growth as before, relying purely on increased budgets for paid ads. Retailers will need to rethink their strategy for engaging with all channels, especially those that were previously underutilized, such as retention. Our experience shows that retention can account for up to 10% of online sales, whereas many businesses don’t even have a basic trigger-based email chain in place.
One important strategy is to expand your product range. This helps to attract new customers more affordably and increases cross-sell opportunities. It doesn’t mean you should add everything to your catalog, but you must understand the connection between how search works online and sales: 1 new product on the shelf → 10 potential customers in Google = 1 sale.
While brand will still play an important role, in the competition with price, price will win in 2025. Companies with strong brands that can timely offer the right price at the right moment will have a competitive edge. Today, Ukrainians want genuine communication with brands, authentic stories, and content that addresses their needs. In 2025, successful brands will be those that show their processes and aren’t afraid to be “imperfect”.
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